July 2025_________________________
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This month's job and employment summary data are below and this month's inflation data is below that.
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The Establishment Job Report with data released July 3, 2025.
Current Job and Employment Data
Jobs
Total Non-Farm Establishment Jobs up 147,000 to 159,724,000
Total Private Jobs up
74,000 to 136,026,000
Total Government Employment up 73,000 to 23,698,000 Note
Civilian Non-Institutional Population up 200 thousand to 273,585,000
Civilian Labor Force down
130 thousand to 170,510,000
Employed up 93
thousand to 170,380,000
Employed Men up
89 thousand to 86,575,000
Employed Women
up 4 thousand to 76,791,000
Unemployed down
222 thousand to 7,015,000
Not in the Labor Force up 329 thousand to 103,204,000
Unemployment Rate
went down .1% to 4.1% 7,015/170,510
Labor Force Participation Rate went down .1% to 62.3%, or 170,510/273,585
Prices and inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for all Urban Consumers was up by a monthly average of 2.9 percent for 2024.
The CPI June report for the 12 months ending with May shows the
CPI for All Items was up 2.3%
CPI for Food and Beverages was up 2.7%
CPI for Housing was up 4.0%
CPI for Apparel was down .7%
CPI for Transportation including gasoline was down 1.5%
CPI for Medical Care was up 2.7%
CPI for Recreation was up 1.6%
CPI for Education was up 3.8%
CPI for Communication was down 2.3%
This Month’s Establishment Jobs Press Report
MORE OMINIOUS SIGNS IN A BAD JOBS
REPORT
The Bureau of Labor Statistics published its July report for jobs in June. The civilian population increased 200 thousand, The unemployed decreased by 222 thousand because 130 thousand left the labor force and stopped looking for work and only 93 thousand of the adult population increase found employment. The adult population not in the labor force increase by 329 thousand. The large decrease in the unemployed and the modest increase in the employed combined to decrease the unemployment rate .1% to 4.1%. The participation rate decreased .1% to 62.3 percent, a very low rate.
Goods production increased by 6
thousand jobs. Natural resources dropped 2 thousand jobs while construction added
a net of just 15 thousand jobs. In construction, residential specialty trade
contractors added 18.4 thousand jobs offset by a decline of 3.7 thousand new
jobs in construction and buildings, and in heavy and engineering construction.
Manufacturing lost a net of 7 thousand
jobs. Durable goods were down 5 thousand where computer and electronic product
manufacturing were down 4.9 thousand jobs to account for most of the
manufacturing job losses but no durable goods manufacturing sub sectors did
well. Non-durable goods production was down a net of 2 thousand jobs. Paper
manufacturing added 2.3 thousand jobs, but no other non-durable goods sub
sector did well.
Government service employment increased
a net of 73 thousand jobs, but federal government employment dropped 7 thousand
jobs. State government had 47 thousand new jobs and local government added 33
thousand jobs. State and local government jobs excluding education increased by
17.3 thousand while both state and local government public education had more
jobs following last month’s job losses. State public education added 40.1
thousand jobs and local public education added 23.2 thousand jobs. Private
sector education lost 7.5 thousand seasonally adjusted jobs, which brings the
total of education to a net increase of 55.8 thousand jobs, an unusually large
increase.
Health care took first place again for
private service sector job gains with 59 thousand new jobs, although down from
last month. All four of the health care subsectors had more jobs with
ambulatory care adding 39.2 thousand jobs; hospitals added 16.1 thousand jobs,
a good month for hospitals; nursing and residential care were up 14.4 thousand
jobs. Social assistance services added 16.1 thousand jobs with individual and
family services having 15.6 thousand of the social service jobs. The growth
rate for health care was down from last month to 3.02 percent, but still above
the average of 2.22 percent per month of the last 15 years. Health care
continues to have a larger and larger share of America’s jobs.
Leisure and hospitality added 20.6
thousand jobs. Arts, entertainment and recreation had 15.1 thousand of the jobs
and accommodations and restaurants added a net 5.5 thousand more. The amusements,
gambling and recreation sub sector adding 5.5 thousand of the arts,
entertainment and recreation jobs; restaurants added just 6.5 thousand jobs, a
small gain.
Trade, transportation and utilities had
3 thousand new jobs. Wholesale trade dropped 6.6 thousand jobs, retail trade added
2.4 thousand jobs. No retail trade sub sectors did well. Transportation added 7.5
thousand jobs, after last month’s much bigger increase. Among modal
transportation, air travel dropped 4.4 thousand new jobs. Couriers and
messengers added 4.8 thousand jobs; warehousing and storage added 2.4 thousand more. Utilities had 600 new jobs.
Professional and business services was
down 7 thousand jobs, a slightly smaller loss than last month. The professional
and technical services subsector was down 7.4 thousand jobs in a poor month;
where management of companies was also down 1.4 thousand jobs. The third sub
sector, administrative and support services including waste management, added a
tiny 1.9 thousand jobs in a poor month for jobs.
Among professional and technical
services, legal services had 2.8 thousand jobs, the most new jobs among
professional services. Legal services usually finishes last among professional
job gains, if it has any new jobs. Otherwise only architectural and engineering
services added 2.7 thousand jobs, while scientific research and development
services were off 5.7 thousand jobs, consistent with the Trump onslaught. Computer
systems design and related services lost 2.5 thousand more jobs and no other
professional services did well. Among administrative support services, the
primary job losses came in employment services, down 6.5 thousand jobs after
last month’s much bigger job losses. Services to buildings and swellings added
4.2 thousand jobs
Information
services had 3 thousand new jobs. Motion picture and sound recordings had 2.4
thousand new jobs while no other sub sectors did well. Financial activities including
real estate and rental and leasing services added only 3 thousand jobs. Finance
and insurance had just under a thousand new jobs. Deposit institutions had 2.2
thousand of the new finance jobs, but no sub sectors did well. Real estate lost
jobs offset by rental and leasing services with 2.6 thousand new jobs. The
category, other, lost 5 thousand jobs with all three sub sectors losing jobs; repair
and maintenance services lost 1.4 thousand new jobs, personal and laundry services
another 3.7 thousand jobs while non-profit membership associations lost 300
jobs.
The
economy added 147 thousand jobs for June. Establishment employment in June was
159.724 million with an annual growth rate of 1.11 percent. The total of new
establishment jobs this month disguises a bad and increasingly ominous job reports.
Almost 95 percent of the new jobs this month came in health care and state and
local government, mostly public education. Among private sector jobs construction
had an average month for job gains but remaining private sectors did poorly,
either losing jobs or gaining a pitifully small number.
Professional
and business services have lost 11 thousand jobs since the December 2024 jobs
report. In June 2023 business and professional services added 64 thousand jobs from
May 2023, or just one month; in June 2024 business and professional services
added 33 thousand jobs from May 2024, or just one month, Attacking Medicaid and
Medicare and health care in general will be devastating for jobs. This month’s
job total is 1.809 million above June a year ago and 3.697 million jobs above June
two years ago. Expect these numbers to decline as
private sector employment continues to fall in a depressed economy.
June Details
Non Farm Total +147
The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported Non-Farm employment for establishments increased from May by 147 thousand jobs for a(n) June total of 159.724 million. (Note 1 below) An increase of 147 thousand each month for the next 12 months represents an annual growth rate of +1.11% The annual growth rate from a year ago beginning June 2024 was +1.15%; the average annual growth rate from 5 years ago beginning June 2020 was +2.90%; from 15 years ago beginning June 2010 it was +1.35%. The high five year growth rate derives from the low Pandemic employment. America needs growth around 1.5 percent a year to keep itself employed.
Sector breakdown for 12 Sectors in 000’s of jobs
1. Natural Resources -2
Natural Resources jobs including logging and mining decreased 2 thousand from May with 621 thousand jobs in June. A decrease of 2 thousand jobs each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of -3.85 percent. Natural resource jobs were down 2 thousand from a year ago. Jobs in 2000 averaged around 600 thousand with little prospect for growth. This is the smallest of 12 major sectors of the economy with .4 percent of establishment jobs.
2. Construction +15
Construction jobs were up 15 thousand from May with 8.324 million jobs in June. An increase of 15 thousand jobs each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +.58 percent. Construction jobs are up 121 thousand for the 12 months just ended. The growth rate for the last 15 years is 3.03%. Construction jobs rank 9th among the 12 sectors with 5.2 percent of non-farm employment.
3. Manufacturing -7
Manufacturing jobs were down 7 thousand from May with 12.750 million jobs in June. A decrease of 7 thousand jobs each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of -.66 percent. Manufacturing jobs were down for the last 12 months by 89 thousand. The growth rate for the last 15 years is +.66%. Manufacturing ranks 6th among 12 major sectors in the economy with 8.0 percent of establishment jobs.
4. Trade, Transportation & Utility +3
Trade, both wholesale and retail, transportation and utility employment were up 3 thousand jobs from May with 29.106 million jobs in June. An increase of 3 thousand jobs each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +.12 percent. Jobs are up by 180 thousand for last 12 months. Growth rates for the last 15 years are +1.12 percent. Jobs in these sectors rank first as the biggest sectors with combined employment of 18.2 percent of total establishment employment.
5. Information Services +3
Information Services jobs were up 3 thousand from May with 2.947 million jobs in June. (Note 2 below) An increase of 3 thousand jobs for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +1.22 percent. Jobs are down by 6 thousand for the last 12 months. Information jobs reached 3.7 million at the end of 2000, but started dropping, reaching 3 million by 2004 and has slowly come back to 3.0 million in the last decade. Information Services is a small sector ranking 11th of 12 with 1.8 percent of establishment jobs.
6. Financial Activities +3
Financial Activities jobs were up by 3 thousand jobs from May to 9.256 million in June. An increase of 3 thousand jobs for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +.39 percent. Jobs are up 89 thousand for the last 12 months. (Note 3 below) This sector also includes real estate as well as real estate lending. The 15 year growth rate is +1.24 percent. Financial activities rank 8th of 12 with 5.8 percent of establishment jobs.
7. Business and Professional Services -7
Business and Professional Service jobs went down 7 thousand from May to 22.603 million in June. A decrease of 7 thousand each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of -.37 percent. Jobs are down 36 thousand for the last 12 months. Note 4 The annual growth rate for the last 15 years was +2.04 percent. It ranks as 2nd among the 12 sectors now. It was 2nd in 1993, when manufacturing was bigger and third rank now with 14.2 percent of establishment employment.
8. Education including public and private +56
Education jobs were up 56 thousand jobs from May at 14.941 million in June. An increase of 56 thousand jobs each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +4.53 percent. These include public and private education. Jobs are up 275 thousand for the last 12 months. (note 5) The 15 year growth rate equals +2.22 percent. Education ranks 5th among 12 sectors with 9.3 percent of establishment jobs.
9. Health Care +59
Health care jobs were up 59 thousand from May to 23.344 million in June. An increase of 59 thousand each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +3.02 percent. Jobs are up 837 thousand for the last 12 months. (note 6) The health care long term 15 year growth rate has been +2.22 percent lately compared to +3.02 percent for this month’s jobs. Health care ranks 2nd of 12 with 14.5 percent of establishment jobs.
10. Leisure and hospitality +20
Leisure and hospitality jobs were up 20 thousand from May to 17.043 million in June. (note 7) An increase of 20 thousand each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +1.41 percent. Jobs are up 260 thousand for the last 12 months. More than 80 percent of leisure and hospitality are accommodations and restaurants assuring that most of the new jobs are in restaurants. Leisure and hospitality ranks 4th of 12 with 10.7 percent of establishment jobs. It moved up to 7th from 4th in the pandemic decline.
11. Other -5
Other Service jobs, which include repair, maintenance, personal services and non-profit organizations were down 5 thousand from May to 6.034 million in June. A decrease of 5 thousand each month for the next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of -.99 percent. Jobs are up 60 thousand for the last 12 months. (Note 8) Other services had +.85 percent growth for the last 15 years. These sectors rank 10th of 12 with 3.8 percent of total non-farm establishment jobs.
12. Government, excluding education +10
Government service employment went up 10 thousand from May
at 12.757 million jobs in June. An increase of 10 thousand each month for the
next 12 months would be an annual growth rate of +.97 percent. Jobs are up 121
thousand for the last 12 months. (note
9) Government jobs excluding education tend to increase slowly with a
15 year growth rate of +.23 percent. Government, excluding education, ranks 7th
of 12 with 8.0 percent of total non-farm establishment jobs.
Sector Notes__________________________
(1) The total cited above is non-farm establishment employment that counts jobs and not people. If one person has two jobs then two jobs are counted. It excludes agricultural employment and the self employed. Out of a total of people employed agricultural employment typically has about 1.5 percent, the self employed about 6.8 percent, the rest make up wage and salary employment. Jobs and people employed are close to the same, but not identical numbers because jobs are not the same as people employed: some hold two jobs. Remember all these totals are jobs. back
(2) Information Services is part of the new North American Industry Classification System(NAICS). It includes firms or establishments in publishing, motion picture & sound recording, broadcasting, Internet publishing and broadcasting, telecommunications, ISPs, web search portals, data processing, libraries, archives and a few others.back
(3) Financial Activities includes deposit and non-deposit credit firms, most of which are still known as banks, savings and loan and credit unions, but also real estate firms and general and commercial rental and leasing.back
(4) Business and Professional services includes the professional areas such as legal services, architecture, engineering, computing, advertising and supporting services including office services, facilities support, services to buildings, security services, employment agencies and so on.back
(5) Education includes private and public education. Therefore education job totals include public schools and colleges as well as private schools and colleges. back
(6) Health care includes ambulatory care, private hospitals, nursing and residential care, and social services including child care. back
(7) Leisure and hospitality has establishment with arts, entertainment and recreation which has performing arts, spectator sports, gambling, fitness centers and others, which are the leisure part. The hospitality part has accommodations, motels, hotels, RV parks, and full service and fast food restaurants. back
(8) Other is a smorgasbord of repair and maintenance services, especially car repair, personal services and non-profit services of organizations like foundations, social advocacy and civic groups, and business, professional, labor unions, political groups and political parties. back
(9) Government job totals include federal, state, and local government administrative work but without education jobs. back
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Notes
Jobs are not the same as employment because jobs are counted once but one person could have two jobs adding one to employment but two to jobs. Also the employment numbers include agricultural workers, the self employed, unpaid family workers, household workers and those on unpaid leave. Jobs are establishment jobs and non-other. back
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